missing 411: the hunted cases

Naturally, without any explanation as to how he got there. Coincidence is how gods can circumvent rules. Ignoring mind control for now (which is technically doable with advanced enough technology that we are already developing), someone who can remotely scan or edit brains can probably also stop someones heart with a more advanced version of taser. If anyone whos unable to travel many miles is found many miles away, especially if it is in a very short amount of time, its extremely suspicious. If these coincidences seem pedestrian or contrived to you, brace yourself. In any case, since many of the missing in cities were students, maybe they were targeted at school. If its correct, I bet that benevolent gods would use coincidence to aid us and trickster gods to amuse themselves. But back to how the specific Missing 411 accounts of the people who were found indicate organized predation. People make errors. Or to put it another way, a pattern of correlations is when the same things keep happening more frequently than they should by chance, while a pattern of coincidences is when unique, extremely unlikely events keep happening in connection to a person, event, phenomenon, etc. I especially recommend the most recent documentary, Missing 411: The Hunted, as I have never seen such great visualization of movement through an area, plus the cases selected for this documentary are some of the most bizarre and inexplicable there are. How do you keep getting bodies into water without it being seen, ever? Missing 411: The U.F.O. Connection (2022) - IMDb This means that nothing should be taken at face value and that it may be necessary to keep our cards close to the chest not advertising our best leads or next moves, while trying to set up traps for the adversary. Missing 411 is a series of books and films, which document cases of people who have gone missing in national parks and elsewhere, and assert that these cases are unusual and mysterious, contrary to data analysis which suggests that they are not actually statistically mysterious or even unexpected. However, after they get lost, I would expect more people with colorful clothing to be found, as it cuts both ways. Profile points that make people more likely to go missing or to not be found in general (bad weather, dogs and trackers failing to track, etc.) Missing 411: The Hunted (2019) - IMDb The other type of accounts shared by children indicates the existence of facilities. Which brings me to a statistical issue that I think Dave got wrong. Or any or all of that. In this light, it would only be strange if the person who felt unwell then traveled huge distance, which would be incongruous, or if the person was later found alive and healthy, but with no memory of what happened. Dennis disappeared while Martin kids were playing with the other Martin kids. Much like it is with the other inexplicable details of the typical state in which the bodies in these cases keep being found, no identifiable cause of death theoretically is a solid profile point a positive evidence of something unusual going on. How odd is enough? The stasis option might sound the most sci-fi, but there are multiple Missing 411 cases in which the body was found in a surprisingly pristine condition for how long it was supposedly dead. Some of these factors are inherently unusual, requiring at the very least a sudden psychotic break or a chain of bad decisions, while others are unusual through the rate at which they correlate with these cases, and yet others seem utterly impossible all by themselves. Which are great, so please, Dave, do more of that. Put simply, this profile point is something that makes it harder to find a missing person and easier for people to get more lost. The person could have intentionally vanished. Yes, I have also watched Good Omens recently. Given that the smallest useful sample is about 100 people, it would have to be for a whole U.S. state at least, or for all national parks in a country, since the largest cluster in the Yosemite is currently in the 50s, I believe. Not only that, the burn marks were treated by an unidentifiable ointment and the cause of death was a massive heart attack. This is a fairly strong profile point, given that there is no good explanation, conventional or otherwise, for why or how any of this should happen at all. The whole idea of the movie The Prestige about rival illusionists is that the most impossible magic trick is teleportation. Occams razor therefore says foul play. Hes not putting forward his theories in the books, only data. For the first three-fourths or so of the documentary, we're under the impression that they seem to be easy targets for killers or maybe incredibly accident prone. It has many of the Missing 411 hallmarks Adamski disappeared while on a walk and was last seen in the afternoon, only to turn up five days later, dead, on top of a coal pile located in a town twenty miles away. It covers the cases of multiple hunters who disappeared without a trace in the United States. This dense forest is where three Roman Legions were massacred by Germanic tribes in 9 A.D. Or there at least isnt enough evidence for any of these. 1 hr 37 mins. Finally, being associated with Bigfoot research also doesnt disqualify everything that you say about anything. Perhaps the only type of thing that Dave tends to do thats somewhat less than ideal is that in his descriptions of the cases, he sometimes omits facts that point toward more mundane explanations. Like to teleport. Some of the cases that meet the profile criteria do hint at abduction by neither an animal, nor a human, but others do not. And dont even get me started on synchronicity and how you absolutely would want to use systemic coincidences in order to manage a simulated (or similarly controlled) world. If you think that this whole scenario is crazy, then you havent watched enough Star Trek. I have discussed the German aspect a lot with some people who understand the relevant genetics, and it appears that of all the possible ethnic groups, it wouldnt make much sense to pick Germans. This is another strong profile point, given that the most likely explanations are the body being dropped there to be found, or perhaps a temporal displacement. The Very Strange disappearance of Tom Messick whilst hunting near Brant As for the specific weird scenarios that were reported, assuming the reports were accurate, they seem to be consistent with there being an organized perpetrator. If those exact statistics arent available, similar ones should exist to give us an estimate. But still, even assuming that theyre intentional omissions and not just Dave not knowing a fact or Dave keeping a fact to himself in the interest of the family of the victim, its very human. Or that there was stasis involved. What should be done first is a comparison with the distribution of times at which people from a random non-Missing 411 sample disappear in the same areas. Get Missing 411: The Hunted from the Microsoft Store Cases with positive evidence of the impossible (facts gleaned from autopsies, missing being found in unlikely places, etc.) The U.K. study also suggests that the truly undeterminable deaths (called the sudden adult death syndrome there) can be incorrectly misdiagnosed as a different cause of death as much as two thirds of the time. Missing 411- The Devil's in the Detail, 2014 Beyond the basic scientific considerations, its important to understand that we may be doing research here against an intelligent adversary, which complicates things. Missing 411: The Hunted, movie reviews . The unusual death following a plot of a movie, an unusual plot, moves this coincidence to about a bit odd to the sixth power. Even if the name was selected purely on the basis of bad feelings, it may indicate that dangerous terrain, gases, radiation, or infrasound can be found in the area. Profiling is in some ways similar to cherry-picking, but the science of it is more complicated. That would be bad enough if done systematically by some sort of human agency, but the inside-out clothing indicates that it really might not involve humans, or at least not exactly us, modern-day humans (insert your favorite sci-fi modifier here). And even if the issue was some natural phenomenon, state of mind or mentality can affect awareness and behavioral responses. The only way how to prove that a synchronicity (coincidence that is manipulative) is taking place, as far as I can tell, is to guess at the logic behind it and then try to predict not necessarily what specific coincidence will happen, but at least the incidence aspect that it will happen, or the time or rate at which coincidences will be happening in relation to a particular person or phenomenon. The question is not so much whether someone can have or be using such technology, since the recent sonic attacks at U.S. embassies across the world prove that the capability exists. The reason why foul play was suspected in this case was that there were burn marks found on the body, which has happened in at least one Missing 411 urban case that Im aware of. Like the case of Zigmund Adamski criminal activity was not ruled out, which rules it out as a Missing 411 case, but it was not ruled out precisely because there was evidence of foul play. Finally, the seemingly most ridiculous element of all of these stories, the stool sample, is a clear sign of organization. From that point of view, this profile point should always be analyzed together with other variables. This is why it seems very suspicious to me that in Missing 411 cases, the majority of people who are found alive have amnesia and only a minority reports something strange happening. Dogs arent machines, which inevitably means they must have some sort of rate of error, some better and worse days, while scent can be affected by environmental conditions. Neurology-based research and technology would also help explain why the causes of death are so difficult to identify in many of these cases. My critical point of view is that this is a nice sentiment, and youd want to have searchers with this attitude looking for you, but there is a number of conceivable conventional scenarios in which it would be very possible that the person would be exceedingly difficult to find or unlikely to be found. Hunters have disappeared from wildlands without a trace for hundreds of years. And yes, I also rewatched Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency, obviously. Theres bound to be a normal percentage of cases in which the trackers simply fail to locate evidence that is present in the area. These are all angles that can and should be investigated, since precise targeting, luring, and covert disappearing of people arent trivial tasks. People dont have good reasons to lie down on their faces and Paulides is correct to point out that corpses in water can offer a lot of reliable information about the deceased person. If the person was seen, say, falling of a cliff, then that would be an explanation, just like it should be easier to find someone when youd seen where exactly they entered the forest, at what speed, and in what state of mind. Clothing really is tricky. Im really only qualified to speculate on the first question. Dave assembled the profile by reviewing details of all unexplained disappearances he could find that took place in the U.S. national parks and by noting what they had in common. Missing 411: Disappearances in the Wilderness - Historic Mysteries It should never be tens of percent. The most common report from adults, adult women specifically, is that of being stalked by weird or strange men. Missing 411: The U.F.O. As the investigations expanded to include National Forests, David Paulides and his team began to find cases of missing hunters that fit their profile points. And sure, tests have to be named something and there is a limited number of letters in the alphabet. The comparison actually needs to be made between the Missing 411 sample and whats normal for national park visitors in general, as well as it needs to be made between the Missing 411 sample and a control sample of non-Missing 411 missing people, ideally controlled by location (park vs. rural vs. urban). What I can speculate on is why any type of perpetrator would have an operational range centered around large bodies of water or rock formations, or national forests and parks for that matter. The lack of visible damage to the bodies would in this context indicate either that the exam or procedure was neurological in nature (like an MRI scan), interrogative (interviewing the subject), or otherwise non-invasive (like a DNA swab). Coincidence is not the fact that something keeps repeating or happening in similar ways, it is a remarkable concurrence of events or circumstances without apparent causal connection. So far, as far as I know, Dave made the clusters map and the table of how far away small children were found. Amazon.com: Customer reviews: Missing 411: The Hunted It may even be an intelligence-type operation, specifically, which means that there could be an effort to avoid statistical detection or to obscure the true motivation by introducing false leads and using all kinds of misdirection, if not outright destruction of evidence, intimidation, or assassination. However, they may not follow that perfectly. Missing 411: The Hunted. A lot of the draw of Missing 411 is the mysterious nature of not only people vanishing, but something extraordinary at play. Our Take on the 'Missing 411' Cases | Winter Watch Forests being bigger and unmarked could certainly be an issue, just like the number and type of local predators or overall crime rates in the area, and maybe thats something that should be statistically analyzed using data that I dont have at the moment (comparing forests where people go missing versus those where they dont go missing based on these criteria). There could also be competing goods, but lets table that for now. In the Daves profile, whoever the perpetrators are seem to be perfect, but no one is 100% effective. The question is why would there be high-tech kidnappers, possibly using also advanced camouflage or noise cancellation technology, snatching random people sneakily in the forests. The reason why to wait for that could be that it is much less suspicious for a person to disappear while out drinking at night in the city than if they just left their house for no reason in the middle of the night. This is the fourth book in the blockbuster "Missing 411" series that describes unusual incidents of people that have disappeared in National Parks and forests of the world. While our current medical science is far from perfect, the real number of truly unknown causes of death appears to be quite low, somewhere in the range of 1.34 per 100,000 (in the U.K.) and 15 per 100,000 (in the U.S.). Maybe some of the people who died had an allergic reaction to whatever method of incapacitation or memory wipe was used. Paulides has classified over 1,440 missing persons cases under the Missing411 label. Yosemite happens to have the highest total of Missing 411 cases of any National Park. Right off the bat, it is important to distinguish coincidence from correlation. When you have such data, a lot of it, about a state of an object, and it doesnt make any sense how it got there from its last known state, what youve got is a proper anomaly. Then again, the alternatives dont exactly seem to be comforting, as they range up to Lovecraftian. Missing 411: The Hunted - Where to Watch and Stream - TV Guide If you have any theories or suggestions yourselves, Im all ears. Which sometimes happens in the Missing 411 cases, without any good reason. I await suggestions. Specifically, either cryptids known as dogmen, or some version of skinwalkers who can shapeshift into canine forms. At this point, I believe it is more about what direction I think should be taken in further analyzing the data. Like the Missing 411 cases. At its core, Missing411 is the vague claim that something unusual is occurring related to deaths and disappearances in national parks. In at least some cases, a wrong search area could have been set up or the search effort could have been otherwise insufficient (or plain unlucky). It would be an annoyingly good crime, however, as it is very difficult to prove such crime for the above-mentioned reasons. But even then, dogs can simply fail in some cases, meaning that this profile point alone is never truly a conclusive proof of something unusual going on with the case. Getting lost in a forest certainly can be a traumatic event, but exhaustion, dehydration, or hypothermia could account for hallucinations, skewed perception, or irrational behavior, but again, not so much for amnesia. Maybe a comparison of natural features of these places can yield interesting correlations. The only thing you need to make sure of is that the sample of your observations is representative. An animal could have sneakily killed and buried the missing person. The only conventional explanation for reliable amnesia is when it is induced by some sort of chemical. While phenomena of this type are not strictly speaking ruled out by theoretical physicists, they would at the very least expect them to be substantially more rare, if they were to occur strictly naturally. And even then, there often still should have been enough time to use the phone to report or record what happened. Documentary 2019 1 hr 37 min. Missing 411 cases are a colloquial classification that documents missing person cases that fit a number of criteria: The disappearance occurred in a national park, rural area, or large reserve of public land. The reason why Im mentioning it is that he had his shirt missing and various articles of his clothing were improperly fastened, almost as if he was undressed and then dressed back in a hurry. And maybe nothing is. Scott Schumacher Without giving much away, the first messages that you put on the screen I believe are the thread you meant to weave into this movie..so that it could "shake the tree" so to speak. Sure, random things happen, even extremely unlikely things. In case you were wondering what Ive been doing for the last couple of months instead of writing articles here, I guess you could call it research. Also, in case you make a mistake and blow your cover, humans will be far less likely to torch a natural treasure to get you. The person could have fallen into some hard-to-access crevice or got buried. This means that in order for this profile point to mean something more interesting, the person would have to be found despite the bad weather, in a place they shouldnt have been, and either alive when they should have died of exposure, or dead with no clear cause of death when they should have still been alive. This one focuses a lot on hunters, people that typically know what they're doing in the woods / wouldn't do something stupid resulting in their disappearance. But theres more. When picking mushrooms or berries, a group of people typically stays within hearing range, which means that all you need to do to not get lost is being able to shout (or shoot, I guess). Unusual Tales of Missing Hunters | Modern Survival This seems to be pretty straightforward to me it doesnt matter if youre a bunch of wild men, an underground civilization, or a fleet of E.T. Also, there are virtually no big predators in the Czech Republic that would kill a man. It is a significant step forward in the understanding of the missing phenomena that adds several new elements never before identified. At most, they managed to say that someone is following them, but not exactly who or where they are, or if they described a specific location, they were already gone within moments (if the location they gave was accurate in the first place). Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four different countries. Disorientation happened to my son and I four years ago in Germany's Teutoburg Forest. The most low-tech version that I can think of, some combination of taser and GHB, would clearly be inadvisable for use on children and should kill some people. It would either mean that Jon Oliver was even more right than he thought when he was describing the current sorry state of how especially coroners (the ones without any actual medical training) operate in the United States, or it would mean that some of the Missing 411 profile points actually function as a cause of or significant contributing factor to the sudden adult death syndrome. Usually, the tragic stories are about mushroom poisoning. You have no reason to want their poop, specifically. The clearest one is the account of being taken into a cave with robots and then asked to poop on a foil, but a similar conclusion can be drawn from less obvious accounts, like the one about there being continuous sunlight for several days. We cant, not really, which is why this trick would be used by higher intelligences. Scientists do this all the time. While the logical statistical bias of unexplained cases of missing people should be to involve more cases of no obvious cause of death than what you should expect on average for all deaths (since otherwise the cases would likely be explained), the apparent failure rate of medical examiners in the Missing 411 cases still seems wildly excessive to me. If the person was targeted at home and lured out, it is virtually certain that that person was followed beforehand. How do you manipulate lividity of a corpse, like achieving none? Or, again, by someone who had no idea how to properly fasten the clothes. An isolated concurrence so unlikely that its suspicious by itself. Of course, proving that the times and dates at which people get lost mysteriously are normal times at which theres an opportunity to get lost doesnt prove that the disappearances are entirely mundane. Granted, Elisa Lam is a rare name, so its a case of a rare name of a test that is the same as a human name, which was the same as a rare name of a person who died unusually, while the test was being used at the time and place where they died. This would require for the dumping of the body to be virtually instantaneous (think teleportation), perfect optical stealth, Men in Black-like memory or perception control, etc. Dave also likes to cite one case in which the police officers noticed that the subject who lost his shoes had clean socks, after apparently traveling on his own for several miles through a muddy area. If theres an intelligent perpetrator behind any Missing 411 disappearances, they are likely to know when to lie in wait for people at the times and dates when theres the most opportunity. Apart from this (the fact that a personal attack is a logical fallacy, not a counterargument), if Dave incorrectly interprets some data point or a causal relation, its an error, not a crime. The question is, why would a sophisticated perpetrator remove (and sometimes return) clothing, and not understand how it works? Much like Dave eventually had to include urban cases that he was initially avoiding, I believe the next spoke in the wheel (as Dave likes to call it) will have to be cases that share many of the Missing 411 profile points without the person actually going missing. Im not a physicist, chemist, or an engineer, so I cant begin to speculate about any special properties of water or granite, though electrical ones certainly dont seem to be off the table. How do you infuse high amounts of drugs into a body quickly and stealthily (or extract all of the blood, for that matter)? Finally, if you think about it, its important to understand that human clothing can be confusing to a highly intelligent, highly scientifically advanced species who has studied us for ages. When we go do that with my family, we go to a place we know, or with a guide who knows the local forest like their backyard. Maybe if in all of the cases, the phone lost charge too quickly, it would be less strange, but thats only the case sometimes.

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