2016 election simulator

Select a year and a candidate to find out. We simulate the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often. Dem Votes. It's almost here - the moment we've all been waiting for - See the Princeton Election Consortium site for probability color scheme. The model used here allocates the congressional district electoral votes in those states separately from the statewide electoral votes. The answers will affect your popularity for better or worse, both nationally and in individual states. Here's how to play our game that lets you predict the next president. Finally, the map can be populated randomly or more East-to-West, based on actual poll closing times. See more info here. You can also narrow these results down to games played by a specific candidate and difficulty level. All rights reserved. scenarios below for examples. Follow Race to the WH on. Under a 269-269 tie, the Constitution states that the House of Representatives decides the President. Out-talk, Out-smart, and Out-spend your Opponents, The Political Machine 2020 v1.4 - The Final Stretch, The Political Machine 2020 v1.31 - The Big Issues, Most Interesting Political Machine 2020 YouTube Videos. The tool populates an electoral map in about 15 seconds, based on a probability set for each state. Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. In states with delegates awarded by congressional district, the simulation allocates delegates in the following ranges: Due to rounding and the range of possible outcomes, individual candidates' delegate totals may sum to more than the total available delegates. (Defaults are from 2020) Created February 25, 2021 It will take at least 270 electoral votes for a presidential candidate to win the 2020 election. Maine and Nebraska award one electoral vote to the winner of the popular vote in each congressional district and two electoral votes to the statewide winner. M ove Hide Counties Share Year: Details Code available on GitHub . Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast. *No district-level delegates from Pennsylvania are allocated because those delegates are directly elected without indicating presidential preference. Latino voters are about 11 percent of the eligible electorate in 2016, up 1 percentage point from four years ago. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. Sources: Edison Media Research/Mitofsky International (2004/2008/2012 exit polls); U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey (turnout rates by race/ethnicity); U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (population estimates); Cook Political Report (election results; compiled from official sources). And you are being followed. Or Don't. The election is your choice. Campaign Trail results and averages by election: 2020 2016 2016a 2012 2000 1988 1976 1968 1960 1948 1916 1896 1860 1844 Tweet How do you stack up? The Political Machine is a trademark of Stardock Entertainment. Trump wins popular vote but loses Electoral College. Save the election map to generate a unique link to share. For example, candidates with less than a states required minimum share of the vote receive no delegates in that state. Previously reliable states on both sides are now looking more competitive. Build your own US election result: plot a Biden or Trump win Biden may be ahead in the polls, but key battlegrounds that the Democrats lost unexpectedly in 2016 could come through again for. Campaign Trail has been modified to support additional scenarios here (including nearly every recent election and many older ones). Such states ranked either a solid or likely win for either party, according to the Cook Political Report have already been coloured in for Biden and Trump in the graphic below. Do you have what it takes to go down in history? Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2020 presidential election. If any company has conducted multiple polls in the last 14 days, we average out their polling results in order to give them just one entry. Vote Share (%) Turnout (%) Rep Votes. 2020 polling indicates a 14-day rolling average of statewide polls calculated by the Guardian, correct as of the timestamp above. Which President's personality most closely matches yours? Three additional faithless votes, one each in Colorado, Maine and Minnesota, were disallowed. Trump win Biden. a campaign assistant working to elect her candidate. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. Results can now split Maine and Nebraska, as there is at least some possibility that one congressional district in each of those states may be competitive in November. I've preloaded the simulator with data for the 2016 U.S. presidential election and a handful of other historical 3-party races that are interesting for a variety of reasons. These are the states that had a lower than 3% margin in 2016 or switched from red to blue/blue to red between 2008 and 2016. The Democratic incumbent, aged 79, passes on what would be a fairly easy path to a fourth term, He faces little opposition from within the Democratic Party; Possible Rematch with Donald Trump in 2024, The final Secretary of State under Donald Trump did not rule out a future campaign, It will be the 12th time Chicago has hosted the Democrats; the GOP will gather in Milwaukee for their convention in mid-July, Several other cities are holding mayoral elections or primaries, The probabilities will be determined by polling, particularly as that becomes more frequent. White. Create your own Click on the edit button in the title or near each candidate to edit the content Click each state to cycle through colors to determine a state's winner. Greetings fellow Political Junkies! Skew results Democratic Republican Use Preset Result Data *Uses current state electoral vote count 1. Nonetheless, they still factor heavily in key states, including Iowa, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Take our Presidential Personality Quiz. Start with the results of the previous election, adjusted for demographic change since 2016. Methodology. Colorado, Wyoming and Virgin Islands aren't holding a presidential preference vote either, but those states are included since those national convention delegates must indicate which candidate, if any, they intend to support. 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study. Hit the "Run Simulation" button. And for us to be thorough in that regard, we must have an electoral map tool. [read full article], Hard to believe there are only 6 weeks until election day! Barring some sort of stunning development, we're headed for a Donald Trump-Hillary Clinton fight in November -- the sort of outcome that Americans in other dimensions are using as jokes to start their news articles. The way the site is structured, we can only have one simulation pairing, and so we've chosen to launch (rather than wait) with the most likely fall match-up. After this standardization process, we then take a mean average of these daily entries in order to present the polling average. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. Some states remain very likely to go to Biden or Trump because they were won by large margins in 2016, or they have voted the same way in several recent elections. All Games > Simulation Games > Election simulator. Who will protect women from the courts and legislatures? 10.5%. Clinton won Washington; however three electors cast votes for Colin Powell, one for Faith Spotted Eagle, Trump won Texas; however one elector cast a vote for Ron Paul, another for John Kasich, Clinton won Hawaii; however one elector cast a vote for Bernie Sanders. For now, a combination of polling, 2012 actual and, The way the site is structured, we can only have one simulation pairing, and so we've chosen to launch (rather than wait) with the most likely fall match-up. FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast But it's not just any ol' electoral map simulator; we made a tool that lets you also 1) jump to particular scenarios and 2) see how the states have voted in the past. Give speeches, go on talk shows, hire unsavory operatives, and do whatever it takes to win on election day. States already placed in the Biden and Trump camp are those classified as solid or likely to go to each candidate according to the Cook Political Report as of 9 September 2020. Thank you, please check to confirm your subscription! In this game, you will make choices. (Defaults are from 2020), Show Map Link (for use in uselectionatlas.org forum posts only), Calculator for Another Year: 2024 Polls Presidential Election Senate GOP Primary Dem Primary Biden Approval Rating Tracker. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. The 270toWin simulator has returned for 2016, currently featuring the most likely November match-up: Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump. Election Simulator 2016 is the result of being fed up with the 2016 election. Change the settings below to see how shifts in party preference and turnout by different demographic groups would affect the 2016 presidential election. Copyright 2023 Stardock Entertainment. Weep at how arbitrary our electoral system is. : Lesson Plan: . presidents in American history. Non-college-educated whites skew older and rural and will be 46 percent of eligible voters in 2016, down from 49 percent in 2012. If you find something interesting -- a scenario that even Martin O'Malley could win -- let us know in the comments. No district-level delegates from Pennsylvania are allocated because those delegates are directly elected without indicating presidential preference. First, we calculated the average share of the vote for each position (first place through fourth place) in all contests through Super Tuesday, with some adjustments made for cases where there would be fewer than four candidates. Data analysis by David Wasserman. The goal of this report . If it declines, Clinton will have much less room for error in key states such as Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia. Election simulator is a political satire game where you gain Voters by literally throwing cash at problems in society. You must have Javascript enabled to play this game. There were seven faithless presidential electors. Election simulator. v1.2 Included: Ranked multiplayer matchmaking, election simulation mode, and new "Brexit" event. Something isn't right about this candidate. Points Shop News Labs. To change a state's party, click on an individual state on the U.S. map. The remaining states have been divided into groups using their voting history and expectations in 2020, to help you decide which way they might go. 2020 Electoral College Map Presidential candidates need 270 electoral votes to win an election. Sorry but an error occured. For the Bernie Sanders fans out there, we continue to maintain the Sanders vs. Trump electoral map. The split can be edited in this table. This game was built using Twine. [read full article], 64 MB DirectX 9.0c 3DVideo Card with PixelShader 2.0 Support. Most prominent in suburbs and in swing states such as Colorado, New Hampshire and Virginia, this growing segment turns out to vote much more reliably than any other group and has been increasingly leaning toward Democrats. ET. How do you stack up? In the 1992 election, Ross Perot was such a candidate, winning approximately 19% of the popular vote and having over 30% of the nal vote in Maine and 27% in Utah [2]. Click on this interactive map to create your own projections for the 2020 presidential race, see. How to play? These Results are controlled 100% by the computerGet the game here: http://270soft.com/us-election-games/president-election-game-2016-infinity/ 2021 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. 201620122008200420001996199219881984198019761972196819641960195619521948194419401936193219281924192019161912190819041900189618921888188418801876187218681864186018561852184818441840 Aside from 1872 - death of Horace Greeley - it is the greatest number since electors began casting one vote each for president and vice president (12th Amendment, 1804). Created by Dan Fernholz and Ric Fernholz. Nothing has been posted to this project page yet. In most states, the winner of the popular vote gets all of the state's electoral votes. Sources: This is likely to favour the Republicans, in which case Trump would end up staying in the White House. Romney received just 27 percent of their votes in 2012, and Trump is in danger of faring even worse. Related reporting: Trump's Path to a Contested Convention . This simulation uses a set of assumptions based on the results of the Republican primary so far. The Excel workbook contains an election simulator that allows you to predict who will win each state, whilst keeping count of the Electoral College votes. To build a baseline model of the 2020 presidential election we started with the results of the 2016 election, measuring the support for President Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton by race, college education and age in each state. This election simulation game is developed by icivics has been played more than 6 million times. This is also visualised in the form of. One of only 5 elections (1824, 1876, 1888, 2000, 2016) where the popular vote winner was defeated Hillary Clinton first female presidential nominee of a major political party Clinton won Maine but Trump earned an electoral vote by winning the popular vote in the 2nd Congressional District. Non-Hisp. 2023-24 Election Forecast. Election simulation data from the Economist election model . There's little evidence that Trump is improving on Romneys 6 percent showing, but without Obama on the ballot, Democrats will need to ensure black turnout remains high. Additional new features will be coming soon. Default All Democratic All Republican All Tossup All Blank Tossup Only Tilt or Less Lean or Less Likely or Less Solid or Less 2000 Actual 2004 Actual 2008 Actual 2012 . This page contains results for all recent 2016 games that have been played on The Campaign Trail. The map was created by Ste Kinney-Fields and is based on data from from fivethirtyeight and 270towin.You can read the full article here.. Disclaimer: This post was written before the 2016 election results, so was a best guess as to how each group . It's very simple: Choose a 3-party presidential race from the drop -down. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. On any day, we collate any polls published in the last 14 days and take a mean average of their results. Rep. Random. So we built one. African-Americans are consistently Democrats best demographic group. All Rights Reserved. McMullin wins at least one electoral vote. However, like Latinos, these voters are heavily concentrated in less competitive states such as California, Hawaii and Washington. In the interactive graphic below, you decide which way these closer states will vote, and try to pave Joe Biden or Donald Trumps path to victory. View our Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) about next steps for this game and site. Additional contributions from Allison McCann. However, Latino voters tend to turn out at lower rates than whites and African-Americans and are heavily concentrated in non-battleground states, such as California, New York and Texas, limiting their influence in the Electoral College. View our Campaign Trail Hall of Fame. Bullaburra accommodation meaning. Specifically, we used exit polls and data from the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study to estimate each demographic group's partisan preference, and data from the Census Bureau's 2016 report on voting and registration to estimate each group's turnout level. Choices will appear in coloured text. Special thanks to New Signature for their work on a clickable U.S. map. - The options for swing states are: Florida, Maine (at large), Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska (2nd district), New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada Indiana, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio. The state-by-state . The 270toWin simulator has returned for 2016, currently featuring the most likely November match-up: Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump. 2016 election simulation as if voter turnout and preferences were the same as in 2012scenario Athe authors are not expressing the belief that this is a likely event. With a new slew But it's not just any ol' electoral map simulator; we made a tool that lets you also 1) jump to particular scenarios and 2) see how the states have voted in the past. Race to the White House. By Aaron Bycoffe and David Wasserman. This marked the first time that Maine has split its electoral vote since it moved away from the winner-take-all method in 1972. Have fun. Which President's personality most closely matches yours? Community Hub. And since that wasn't enough, we also included data on how the states voted relative to the country on the whole, letting you see how much more liberal or conservative each one was versus the norm, even if it voted for a Democrat or a Republican. This game allows its users . All Rights Reserved. States Choosing Electors using Winner-take-all Method: (Prefer a Simpler Version?) Independent Evan McMullin received 21.5% of the vote in Utah; best '3rd party' performance in any single state since Ross Perot in 1992, Libertarian Gary Johnson received over 3% of the nationwide vote; best 3rd party performance nationwide since Ross Perot in 1996. Simulation Infogram. Steam and the Steam logo are trademarks and/or registered trademarks of Valve Corporation in the U.S. and/or other countries. For Mac, iPad, and iPhone: About the Game Election Manager 2016 is an abstract strategic election simulation game where you manage your ticket in an attempt to get your candidate elected to the office of President of the United States. 2016 Electoral College Calculator Development and design by Robin Muccari, Nigel Chiwaya, Jiachuan Wu and Sophie Andrews. There is also a community page thecampaigntrail on Reddit. All Reviews: 4 user reviews. No delegates are allocated for Guam, American Samoa and North Dakota because they arent holding presidential preference votes and their delegates are unbound. But with the primaries now (mostly) behind us, we can start obsessing over who will win and how they will do it. To build a baseline model of the 2020 presidential election we started with the results of the 2016 election, measuring the support for President Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton by . In the new ladder mode, you will choose your political party and launch your campaign against increasingly challenging opponents. "WE THE PEOPLE" ELECTION SIMULATION: In this extended class activity students take part in an election simulation as a way of evaluating the election procedures used in the state of Connecticut and nationally and examine key elements of elections such as voter participation, eligibility, election security and the electoral process. A majority of 270 electoral votes out of a total of 538 is needed to win, and the remaining states are up to you. Then adjust the sliders to see how shifts in turnout and support among different demographic groups could swing the Electoral College. See the Walk the fine line between appealing to your base and winning a majority of the votes. Best News 2023 Dove trovare peluche masha e orso cartone. Last updated April 27, 2016 at 11:08 p.m. v1.1 Included: Over a dozen new candidates, updated issues and . US election live follow all the latest updates. Take our Presidential Personality Quiz. 0.3%. (Defaults are from 2020), States Choosing Electors using Congressional District Method: We then applied these estimates at the county level and used a statistical technique (called iterative proportional fitting) to fit the estimates to actual vote results before reconstructing them at the state level. This refreshed version of Win the White House challenges you to build your campaign and allows you to simulate a presidential election: Building arguments to support timely issues that are relevant to you Strategically raise funds to support your campaign Rep./Dem. The map above shows how the 2016 US Presidential election might go if only one demographic group got the vote. You will answer questions about your platform and positions, and also about your campaign strategy. 13.5%. Well, it looks like we have our general election match-up: Jeb Bush vs. Martin O'Malley. More on that later. Please enter a name, party, and color for each candidate. Use Simplified Version of the Electoral College Calculator, Electoral College Calculator and Map Generator - 2024. Choose a county (or several) to move to a new state. Princeton Election Consortium Electoral Map Colors indicate likelihood for a Clinton or Trump victory in each state based on current polling. Reporting and analysis from the Hill and the White House, The Fixs 2016 Create Your Own Electoral College Map simulator. Run for President of the United States as one of over a dozen presidential candidates or create your own ideal candidate. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. For the Bernie Sanders fans out there, we continue to maintain the, Maryland Sen. Ben Cardin Won't Seek Reelection Next Year, President Biden Launches Campaign for Reelection, Mike Pompeo Will Not Run for President in 2024, Chicago to Host 2024 Democratic Convention, Live Results: Elections for Wisconsin Supreme Court, Chicago Mayor Headline a Busy Tuesday. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Results from the Campaign Trail will be tied to your account. Release Date: Jan 9, 2020. Review asus memo tablet. Ns2 network simulator feetures socks. Bbc weather alicante october. In 2000, Al Gore carried just 169. Finally, we adjusted the size of each demographic group by doubling census-estimated population change for voting-age citizens from 2016 to 2018. The tool populates an electoral map in about 15 seconds, based on a probability set for each state. Edited by Anna Brand. "The definitive 2016 election game!" - said no one. And since that wasn't enough . Can you take Biden to victory? This isn't Earth 6. Reset Map Share Map You predict Joe Biden will win with 306 votes! In a winner-take-all state, the winner gets all the delegates regardless of vote share. YAPms 2 Beta - Discord USA 2016 Presidential Election Shortcuts F - hold down to quickly fill in districts CTRL - hold down to decrement the color Enable Simulator District Electoral College The Electoral College is the process in which the United States elects its president. Demographic Group. It was started during the 2016 elections and now it has been updated for the 2020 election. Senate Forecast Kentucky Gov Forecast. Although Asians and others (including Native Americans, Native Hawaiians and multiracial voters) made up just 5 percent of all voters in 2012, they are the fastest-growing segment of the voting-eligible population. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved. Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. Maryland Sen. Ben Cardin Won't Seek Reelection Next Year, President Biden Launches Campaign for Reelection, Mike Pompeo Will Not Run for President in 2024, One of only 5 elections (1824, 1876, 1888, 2000, 2016) where the popular vote winner was defeated, Hillary Clinton first female presidential nominee of a major political party. The electoral map has shifted in 2020, amid new challenges from misinformation to mail-in ballots. Multiplayer: Turning friends into frenemies. States shown here did not allocate all their available electoral votes to one candidate. Or will Trump stay in the White House? Clinton won Maine but Trump earned an electoral vote by winning the popular vote in the 2nd Congressional District. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times. Brian wahlbrink sugar pine realty gmac Six13 songs pk. We'll update the electoral vote after updating the number of electors the state gets. See how changes in voter turnout and support could shift the outcome of the 2020 election. Interactive US map from jquery us-map . Clinton wins popular vote but loses Electoral College. The probabilities will be determined by polling, particularly as that becomes more frequent. Ns2 network simulator feetures socks. [read full article], The Political Machine has always been a game that gets users excited for the upcoming All rights reserved. Clinton majority wins at least 50 percent of the vote. Win the White House is among the seven games that were cited for excellence in 2020 by International Serious Play Awards Program. Each candidate comes with a modern perspective on all of the hot current issues and is ready to fight for the 2016 presidency. Whites without college degrees are the bedrock of Donald Trump's coalition: Mitt Romney carried them by more than 20 percentage points in 2012, and Trump is on pace to well exceed that showing. Contact us at electionscenarioexplorer@gmail.com. DeSantis critical of China, hazy on Ukraine as he charts foreign policy path. Obama took 73 percent of the Asian vote in 2012, 2 points higher than his share among Latinos, and Trump could underperform past Republicans among this group. View our Campaign Trail Hall of Fame. Save your map Ted puts Hillary's reputation to the test. The simulator is largely based on a data-driven presidential model created by JHK forecasts. Use our simulator to build your own election result map, US election live follow all the latest updates, Tue 3 Nov 2020 16.41GMT First published on Fri 30 Oct 2020 10.20GMT, Helena Robertson, Ashley Kirk and Frank Hulley-Jones. The state-by-state vote share breaks down as follows: The simulation accounts for state-by-state rules as well. Just kidding! Biden may be ahead in the polls, but key battlegrounds that the Democrats lost unexpectedly in 2016 could come through again for Trump. However, they turn out at lower rates than whites with degrees, and their share of the electorate shrinks every four years. Sprocket for 2 15/16 shaft 140 chain. Dive in. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. In 2012, President Obama carried 257 of the 673 majority-white counties where over a third of residents ages 25 and older hold at least a bachelor's degree. Trumps unpopularity among white voters with college degrees could be his Achilles heel and Hillary Clintons salvation. Contact us with any questions or comments. WRITER / DIRECTOR : Greg Buchanan PROGRAMMERS: Cherie Davidson and Matt Nichols COMPOSER: Seb Peters ILLUSTRATOR: Adam Coburn LOGO: Anthony Gambino This article was published more than6 years ago. Each state's delegation casts a single vote with a majority of 26 out of 50 needed to win. Data Updated: Tue Nov 03 2020 04:02:43 GMT-0800 (Pacific Standard Time) . Battle for your spot in the White House against some of the most famous (and infamous!) States Choosing Electors using Winner-take-all Method: (Prefer a Simpler Version? ) Election Manager 2016 is an abstract strategic election simulation game where you manage your ticket in an attempt to get your candidate elected to the office of President of the United States. View your games and progress over time. Support|Gamepedia Wiki For now, a combination of polling, 2012 actual and pundit projectionsare considered. Or, click on a different year to see average results for that election. Follow Election Polls, Predictions, Endorsements, and Mock Election on the Atlas Activity Stream; Atlas Weblog; Election Tools. Play Fullscreen Do you want to be the next President of the United States? had on the election, we considered the scenario in which several of the primary major party candidates were also o cial candidates in the nal presidential election. Defeat each candidate to unlock them for general . First, we calculated the average share of the vote for each position (first place through fourth place) in all contests through Super Tuesday, with some adjustments made for cases where there would be fewer than four candidates. You are an American. Forum Discussion of the 2016 Presidential Election, Forum Discussion of the 2016 Gubernatorial Elections, Forum Discussion of the 2016 Congressional Elections, Follow Election Polls, Predictions, Endorsements, and Mock Election on the Atlas Activity Stream, 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary - Democratic, 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary - Republican. Not only did they give President Obama 93 percent of their votes in 2012, but their turnout surpassed that of whites. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. The states are not interactive on the map unless the split is . Please try again later. Map created by Ste Kinney-Fields. Voting history and 2016 margins have been retrieved from the Federal Election Commission. These scenarios are custom-built by various enthusiasts of the game. Then click the Move button and the state you want to move your counties to.

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